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MSNBC reports Trump has engaged in conflict influenced by Netanyahu, with U.S. Central Command active in the Arabian Sea. The odds of a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 are curren...
Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem announced five conditions for the ceasefire amid the 2026 Lebanon war, casting doubt on its sustainability. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 3...
Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf declared his readiness for martyrdom, escalating rhetoric amid tensions with the U.S. and Israel. The Iran leadership change by D...
Solana’s network has added 1.5 million daily active users per month over the past quarter. The market for Solana reaching $150 in April sits at ? YES. Market reaction The April 30...
White House officials announced plans for additional talks in Pakistan on US-Iran peace negotiations. The permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026 market sits at 19.5% YES, down from...
For decades, we tried to teach computers to think by giving them rigid rules. Then, we looked at the human brain and realized the secret… Continue reading on Medium »
I recently discovered a website called TaskLoaded(https://taskloaded.com/auth/register?ref=8UY25ZC0), and honestly, I was quite surprised… Continue reading on Medium »
The Wall Street Journal cites White House optimism for a breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations. The probability of a US-Iran peace deal by April 22 is now at 20% YES, down from 40%...
Iran’s airspace will reopen in four stages, the Deputy Head of Civil Aviation Organization confirms. The ceasefire-by-April-30 market sits at 37.5% YES. Market reaction The phased...
Senator Rick Scott’s backing for the Strait of Hormuz blockade signals continued U.S. support for maintaining it. The odds of Trump announcing the blockade’s lift by May 31 now sit...
The US is ramping up naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz, with plans to seize Iran-linked ships. The odds of the UK sending warships through the Strait by April 30 sit at 8.5%...
Trump’s comment on retrieving Iranian “nuclear dust” after any deal has driven the April 22 permanent peace deal market down to 19.5%, a sharp drop from 40% just 24 hours ago. Mark...
After more than 13,000 strikes, Iran still holds roughly 40% of its attack drones and 60% of its missiles. The odds of Iran striking Israel by April 30 are at 100% YES. Market reac...
Most analysts had ruled out the '4-Year Cycle' for Bitcoin [BTC], saying the narrative was dead. Among them is James Lavish, a partner at the Bitcoin Opportunity Fund. James Lavish...
The KelpDAO exploit created bad debt on Aave after the attacker deposited RSETH to borrow ETH. Ethereum utilization on Aave hit 100%, and whales began withdrawing ETH. The market f...
Trump and Iranian officials have acknowledged progress in negotiations, but uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz persists. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 30 is at 37....
The US has stationed over 12 warships, including destroyers and an aircraft carrier, to enforce a blockade of Iranian ports. The market for Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to no...
Trump says the US blockade remains in place and bombing could resume if no deal is reached. Odds of a ceasefire breach announcement by April 21 are at 22% YES, up from 8% a day ago...
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Iran’s military ordered an Indian vessel to halt its passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The market on whether fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by April 19 sits a...
XRP eyes recovery as SuperTrend indicator turns bullish, says analyst XRP's Solana integration unlocks new DeFi opportunities, enhancing utility and expanding its multi-chain prese...
KelpDAO was exploited for approximately $294 million via its rsETH bridge contract, with the attacker converting minted rsETH into 106,467 ETH and creating a potential $236M bad de...
Political analyst Nima Rostami Alkhorshid argues the current US-Iran ceasefire is a pause before further escalation. The odds of a ceasefire by April 30 now sit at 37.5% YES, down...
One trader flipped a single ETH into more than $470,000 in just a few hours. Another held a position for 580 days watching it sit near zero, then walked away with close to $392,000...
In Indonesia’s rapidly growing crypto market, real decisions are not made by influencers, but by the communities that question them. Continue reading on Medium »
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf declared Tehran’s exclusive control over the Strait of Hormuz, warning that passage will be blocked if Iran faces a blockade. Th...
Ethereum rallied to levels seen in late January, touching a three-month high of $2466 before retracing. At press time, Ethereum [ETH] traded at $2404, up 2.96%, adding to its 7% we...
Iran announced it will prioritize ships paying “costs of security” in the Strait of Hormuz, and the Polymarket contract on fewer than 10 ships transiting between April 13-19 sits a...
