Crypto News

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Trump hints at Israel-Lebanon talks at White House in coming weeks

Trump has hinted at potential high-level talks between Israel and Lebanon at the White House. The market for an Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 is locked at 100% YES....

Trump claims Iran to return nuclear material to US, hints at Israel-Lebanon talks

Trump says Iran will return nuclear material to the US and suggests Israeli and Lebanese leaders might meet at the White House soon. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 ma...

Netanyahu announces 10-day Lebanon ceasefire, excludes Hezbollah

Trump says he has “nothing against the Pope,” signaling a conciliatory shift. The odds of Trump posting profanity on Truth Social this week sit at 5% YES, a 5-point decrease. Netan...

Trump warns of conflict if US-Iran talks fail, uranium deal uncertain

Trump warned of resumed conflict if US-Iran negotiations collapse, and the market for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 moved to 36.8% YES, up from 35% yesterday....

Officials suggest six-month extension to US-Iran ceasefire: Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports officials suggest a six-month extension to the US-Iran ceasefire. Trump announcing the ceasefire end by April 21 is at 8% YES. Market reaction The extension recom...

Israel denies truce as Lebanon offensive continues despite Trump’s announcement

Trump’s announcement of a truce isn’t calming the markets. Israel’s suspension of its Lebanon offensive by April 30 sits at 96.2% YES, up from 87% a day ago. Netanyahu’s denial and...

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Netanyahu demands Hezbollah disbandment amid Lebanon offensive questions

Netanyahu is insisting on Hezbollah’s disbandment, raising questions about whether Israel will suspend its Lebanon offensive. The odds for a suspension by April 30 sit at 96.2% YES...

Fintech Tag · 17d ago

Why the “Bell Curve” is the Most Dangerous Lie in Finance — and How AI is Fixing It

The Elegant Trap Continue reading on Medium »

ai-crypto

Trump hints at weekend meeting with Iran before ceasefire ends

Trump made upbeat remarks about a possible Iran deal before the ceasefire expires, and the probability of a permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 22 is now at 22% YES, up from 12%...

Netanyahu agrees to 10-day ceasefire with Lebanon amid tensions

Israeli PM Netanyahu has agreed to a 10-day ceasefire with Lebanon. The likelihood of Israel announcing a suspension of its Lebanon offensive by April 30 now sits at 96.2% YES, up...

Trump declares Israel-Lebanon ceasefire amid ongoing US blockade on Iran

Trump declared a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon while the US blockade on Iranian ports continues. The market for the US lifting its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by...

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Fintech Tag · 17d ago

Building a Secure Payment Flow in Flutter

Payment features are where mobile apps earn or lose user trust. A single security mistake can expose sensitive financial data, enable… Continue reading on Medium »

Trump’s ambivalence on US-Iran ceasefire raises escalation risk

Trump’s ambivalence about extending the US-Iran ceasefire has moved prediction markets. The odds of a ceasefire extension by April 21, 2026, are now at 82.5% YES, up from 70% a wee...

stablecoins

Trump claims progress with Iran, hints at possible de-escalation path

Trump claimed significant progress with Iran, suggesting a possible path toward de-escalation. The permanent peace deal market for April 22, 2026, is at 25.5% YES, up from 12% a we...

market-analysis

NewsBTC · 17d ago

Why Did The Bitcoin Price Rally Past $75,000 Despite The US-Iran War?

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan has explained why the Bitcoin price has shown strength amid the US-Iran war , with the leading crypto rallying above $75,000. BTC...

bitcoin

AMBCrypto · 17d ago

Analyst warns crypto rebound is only a ‘partial reset’ of late-cycle market

As Q2 2026 begins, financial advisor Benjamin Cowen has raised concerns about Bitcoin’s sharp decline. He points out that the price has fallen nearly 50% from its October all‑time...

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Drift Protocol partners with Tether for $285M exploit recovery effort

Drift Protocol has partnered with Tether for recovery efforts following a $285 million exploit. The Polymarket contract on Solana trading above $30 by April 19 sits at 99.8% YES, u...

CryptoSlate · 17d ago

Bitcoin whales just bought the most BTC since 2013 – so why is the price stuck below $80,000?

Bitcoin has spent much of 2026 moving between recovery attempts and macro shocks, yet one part of the market has kept moving in a single direction. Large holders have been buying....

bitcoin

CoinTelegraph · 17d ago

Bitcoin analysts see ‘further upside,’ and identify next price levels to watch

Written by Nancy Lubale , Staff Writer Reviewed by Ray Salmond , Staff Editor Bitcoin analysts see ‘further upside,’ and identify next price levels to watch 44 minutes ago Traders...

bitcoin market-analysis

Netanyahu sees historic deal opportunity with Lebanon amid diplomatic talks

Netanyahu’s statement on a potential deal with Lebanon has pushed the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19 market to 100% YES, reflecting complete confidence in near-term...

Rep. Mast hints at potential halt to US-Iran conflict within weeks

Rep. Brian Mast, Chairman of the US House Foreign Affairs Committee, suggests a decision to halt the war with Iran may come within weeks. Current odds for a US declaration of war o...

The Block · 17d ago

‘This is nuts’: CFTC chair Selig grilled by lawmakers on prediction markets, Hyperliquid, and staffing

Selig faced heat from lawmakers on how he plans to oversee prediction markets and whether it has the headcount to do it.

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Republicans’ patience with Iran war waning, says House Foreign Affairs Chair

Rep. Mast, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said Republicans’ patience with the ongoing war in Iran is wearing thin. The market on Trump agreeing to Iranian oil san...

China condemns US Strait of Hormuz blockade as reckless

China has called the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz “reckless and provocative.” The odds of President Trump announcing a lift of the blockade by May 31, 2026, sit at 82% YES,...

House fails to end Trump’s Iran war, resolution defeated by one vote

The House narrowly failed to pass a resolution ending Trump’s war in Iran, losing 213-214 by a single vote. The US-Iran ceasefire announcement market is at 9.0% YES, down from 33%...