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XRP steadies near $1.38 as Bollinger squeeze hints at breakout before CPI

nvestors are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index release, which could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations and risk appetite.

By Shaurya Malwa Mar 12, 2026, 5:15 a.m.

What to know:

XRP traded in a tight range around $1.38 as volatility compressed across crypto markets ahead of key U.S. inflation data that could shape Federal Reserve policy expectations.
On-chain and institutional activity remained robust, with daily XRP Ledger transactions topping 2.7 million and XRP-linked investment products amassing about $1.4 billion in assets.
Ripple began a $750 million share buyback that would value the company near $50 billion, while traders watched the $1.35–$1.37 support and $1.40–$1.42 resistance zones for the next decisive price move.

XRP traded quietly near $1.38 as volatility compressed across crypto markets, with traders positioning ahead of U.S. inflation data that could trigger the next directional move.

News Background

XRP has entered a period of consolidation as broader crypto markets adopt a cautious tone ahead of key macroeconomic data. Investors are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index release, which could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations and risk appetite across digital assets.
While price action has been subdued, activity on the XRP Ledger remains elevated. Daily transactions recently climbed above 2.7 million, one of the highest levels in months.
Institutional positioning has also continued to evolve. XRP-linked investment products have accumulated roughly $1.4 billion in assets since their launch, suggesting longer-term capital remains engaged even as short-term trading momentum slows.
Meanwhile, Ripple, the blockchain firm closely associated with XRP, has begun a $750 million share buyback that would value the company at about $50 billion, according to a person familiar with the matter.
The move comes after a $500 million funding round at a $40 billion valuation in November, backed by major hedge funds and crypto investment firms.

Price Action Summary

XRP slipped slightly from $1.3818 to $1.3787
The token traded within a relatively tight 2.5% intraday range
A midday surge briefly pushed price to around $1.41 before rejection
Support near $1.37 held through several tests late in the session

Technical Analysis

The most significant move during the session occurred when XRP briefly rallied toward $1.41 on elevated volume before sellers pushed the token back into consolidation. That rejection reinforced the $1.40–$1.41 area as a near-term resistance zone.
Despite the pullback, buyers repeatedly defended the $1.37–$1.373 region, forming a sequence of higher lows on shorter timeframes. This behavior suggests dip demand remains active even as momentum fades.
Volatility indicators are now compressing. Bollinger Bands on the daily chart have tightened noticeably, a pattern that often precedes a larger directional move once liquidity returns.
The current structure leaves XRP trading between resistance near $1.40 and support closer to $1.35–$1.37, creating a tightening range that may resolve soon.

What traders say is next?

Market participants are focused on whether XRP can maintain support above the $1.35–$1.37 area.
Holding this zone could allow the token to continue consolidating before another attempt to reclaim the $1.40–$1.42 resistance band.
A break below $1.35 would weaken the current structure and could expose deeper support around $1.30–$1.32, while a breakout above $1.42 would signal a potential momentum shift toward the mid-$1.40s and higher.

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