## Market Snapshot
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 is currently priced at 61.5% YES, up from 56% 24 hours ago. The market for a deal by May 31 has dropped to 6.5% YES, while by June 30 it has risen slightly to 27.5% YES.
## Key Takeaways
– Trump’s acceptance of a 20-year moratorium appears to suggest a shift towards a compromise with Iran. – The announcement is consistent with increased likelihood of reaching a deal before 2027. – Market movements reflect moderate confidence in a deal by June 30, given the tight timeline.
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