Strategy’s STRC trading near its $100 par value has enabled a $3B Bitcoin purchase, pushing the probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April to 45% YES, up from 30% yesterday.
Market reaction
STRC’s stable trading near par gave Strategy the capacity to raise capital quickly for a large Bitcoin acquisition. This capital influx moved the Bitcoin price targets market, with the $80,000 threshold now seeing heavy action. The $150,000 target sits at 0.1% YES. STRC’s rapid fundraising signals sustained institutional appetite for Bitcoin exposure.
Why it matters
Trading volume on the $80,000 sub-market hit $962,377 in daily face value, with $335,686 in actual USDC traded. Moving the odds by 5 points requires $45,133, which points to solid liquidity. The largest single move was a 4-point spike at 7:22 AM, from 34% to 38%, as traders reacted to the news.
What to watch
With institutional capital behind the buying, the market is pricing a higher probability of Bitcoin price increases. Buying YES at 45¢ offers a potential 2.08x return if Bitcoin hits $80,000 by April’s end. That outcome depends on continued institutional buying and macroeconomic stability.
Watch for announcements from major Bitcoin holders like MicroStrategy and BlackRock, as their positioning could move market sentiment. Fed policy signals matter too; any dovish shift could push Bitcoin prices higher.
API CTA
Get prediction market intelligence as a structured API feed. Early access waitlist.
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit In April 2026| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $80,000 | 45% | — | — | Trade → |
| $150,000 | 0.1% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 13 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 14 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 16 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 19 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 20 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |