Michael Saylor’s Strategy has overtaken BlackRock’s Bitcoin holdings, becoming the largest institutional Bitcoin holder. Bitcoin’s odds of reaching $80,000 in April are currently at 38.5% YES, down from 64% yesterday.
The shift has prompted traders to reassess Bitcoin price targets. The April 17 market holds at 100% YES for Bitcoin surpassing $62,000, while the $150,000 target sits at 0.1% YES. The 22.5-point drop in the $80,000 market suggests traders are recalibrating expectations, possibly due to recent volatility.
MicroStrategy’s position as the top Bitcoin holder points to strong institutional demand, which could support Bitcoin’s price. The $62,000 threshold looks locked in even as $80,000 odds have fallen sharply. MicroStrategy has funded its purchases through equity and debt raises, a strategy that reflects direct conviction in Bitcoin’s value. For traders, the gap between the $62,000 certainty and the $80,000 uncertainty is where the action is.
MicroStrategy’s move reinforces the bullish case for Bitcoin at a time when institutional competition for holdings is intensifying. Buying YES at 38.5¢ offers a potential 2.4x return if Bitcoin hits $80,000. That bet requires a near-term catalyst beyond Saylor’s accumulation alone.
Watch for further announcements from BlackRock or new SEC filings from MicroStrategy. Either could shift momentum on Bitcoin’s price targets.
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What Price Will Bitcoin Hit In April 2026| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $80,000 | 38.5% | — | — | Trade → |
| $150,000 | 0.1% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
