Stablecoins News

US to take active role in Hezbollah disarmament, Israel-Lebanon talks likely

A senior Israeli official says the US plans to take a more active role in disarming Hezbollah in Lebanon. The market for an Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 sits at 10...

Pentagon targets Iran’s fast-attack fleet with anti-drug tactics

The Pentagon is adapting tactics used against Caribbean drug traffickers to target Iran’s fast-attack fleet. Kharg Island control by April 30 sits at 2.9% YES, down from 4% yesterd...

Trump claims Iran agreed to abandon nuclear ambitions amid sanction talks

Trump claims Iran has “totally agreed” to abandon its nuclear ambitions, pushing odds for Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April to 43% YES, up from 28% a week ago....

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AMBCrypto · 2d ago

Bitcoin: Assessing if $120mln whale withdrawal could spark BTC’s rally to $80K

Bitcoin cooled from its recent push toward $76K but held above $74K for three straight days. At press time, BTC traded at $74,577, up 1.02% on the daily chart. That stability kept...

$7.4B in crypto long positions at risk if Bitcoin closes $67,180 CME gap

Over $7.4 billion in long positions face liquidation if Bitcoin dips to close the $67,180 CME gap. Bitcoin above $68,000 on April 16 is at 99.9% YES. Market reaction The liquidatio...

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The Block · 2d ago

Morgan Stanley’s Amy Oldenburg says crypto ‘becoming daily business’ across the firm

Morgan Stanley's digital asset chief said demand is split between direct crypto exposure and ETFs, forcing banks to build for both.

Trump dismisses 20-year minimum in Iran uranium deal, raising agreement barriers

Trump dismissed a 20-year minimum for a uranium deal with Iran, raising barriers to an agreement. The odds for Iran ending enrichment by April 30 are at 46.3% YES, up from 35% a da...

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DeFi Tag · 2d ago

DeFi made yield easy to see.

DeFi made yield easy to see. Dashboards flash eye-popping APYs, deposit buttons promise passive income, and real-time numbers suggest your money is quietly compounding while you sl...

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Trump hints at Iranian espionage in US scientist deaths, raising diplomatic tensions

President Trump raised concerns over recent mysterious deaths of U.S. scientists, hinting at possible Iranian espionage links. The odds of a qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting b...

Biden warns fighting with Iran to resume if no deal reached

President Biden declared that fighting with Iran would resume if a deal isn’t reached, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026, are at 26.5% YES. Market re...

Trump open to extending Iran ceasefire amid market speculation

Trump has indicated flexibility on extending the ceasefire with Iran. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire extension by April 21, 2026, are now at 82.5% YES, up from 70% a week ago. Tru...

Trump signals optimism on Iran nuclear talks, hints at possible deal

Trump’s public optimism on Iran talks has pushed the odds of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 to 39% YES, up from 35% yesterday. Market reaction Trump’s remarks...

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Erebor Bank launches USDC funding on Solana and SUI blockchains

Erebor Bank has launched USDC funding on the Solana and Sui blockchains. The Solana Price April 13-19 market sits at 0% YES, unchanged after the announcement. ## Market reaction Th...

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Netanyahu rejects Hezbollah’s withdrawal demand, opts for security zone

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has rejected Hezbollah’s demand for withdrawal to the international border, opting instead for a security zone extending to the Syrian border. The...

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Netanyahu demands Hezbollah disbandment amid Lebanon offensive questions

Netanyahu is insisting on Hezbollah’s disbandment, raising questions about whether Israel will suspend its Lebanon offensive. The odds for a suspension by April 30 sit at 96.2% YES...

Trump’s ambivalence on US-Iran ceasefire raises escalation risk

Trump’s ambivalence about extending the US-Iran ceasefire has moved prediction markets. The odds of a ceasefire extension by April 21, 2026, are now at 82.5% YES, up from 70% a wee...

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Drift Protocol partners with Tether for $285M exploit recovery effort

Drift Protocol has partnered with Tether for recovery efforts following a $285 million exploit. The Polymarket contract on Solana trading above $30 by April 19 sits at 99.8% YES, u...

Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.7, resolving prediction markets

Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, pushing the “Claude 4.7 released by May 31” market to 99.9% YES, up from 38% a week ago. The actual release has effectively resolved...

Iran boosts Strait of Hormuz exports amid US tensions

Iran increased its commodity exports through the Strait of Hormuz in March while US-Iran tensions continued. The market for Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit April , which tracks wheth...

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Bitcoin holds above $60K amid US-Iran tensions, reinforcing safe-haven status

Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above $60,000, with the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin being above $60,000 on April 19 priced at 99.8% YES, down slightly from 100% yesterday. Ma...

ECB’s Nagel: No rate decision commitment yet, maintains wait-and-see approach

ECB Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said the European Central Bank cannot commit to a rate decision yet, reinforcing a wait-and-see posture. The Polymarket contract on a 50+...

CENTCOM confirms continued naval blockade of Iranian ports amid tensions

CENTCOM’s Adm. Brad Cooper confirmed the continuation of the naval blockade against Iranian ports during a Pentagon briefing. The likelihood of Trump announcing an end to military...

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UK warship deployment in Strait of Hormuz unlikely by April 30 amid tensions

The US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure have put UK warship deployment back in focus, but the market for UK warships transiting the strait by April 30 has actually fallen...

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Trading Tag · 2d ago

Gold Daily Call for April 16th, 2026

#gold #firstmininggold #preciousmetals #bullmarket #geopolitics #correction #consolidation #grindinghigher #bepatient #FF #FFMG 🇨🇦 Continue reading on Medium »

US-Iran tensions rise as naval blockade dims hopes for oil sanction relief

Vance’s failed talks in Islamabad and the intensified US-Iran confrontation through a naval blockade have dimmed hopes for Trump’s Iranian oil sanction relief. The market for Trump...

S&P 500 hits record 7,050 as US-Iran tensions ease

The S&P 500 reached a record high of 7,050 as signs of de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict emerge. The S&P 500 movement market for April 16 sits at 100% YES. Market react...

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Israel and Lebanon agree to ceasefire starting at midnight

Israel and Lebanon have announced a ceasefire to begin at midnight. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 market is at 93.7% YES, up from 45% a week ago. The ceasefire annou...

NewsBTC · 2d ago

Bitcoin Rally Faces First Test At $76K As Sellers Step In: Analysts

Daily profits from Bitcoin sales are climbing fast — and analysts say a key threshold could determine whether the current rally has legs or runs out of steam. Profit-Taking Still B...

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KMT leader’s China visit leaves Taiwan invasion odds unchanged

KMT leader Cheng Li-wun’s visit to China has prompted attention on the Taiwan invasion market, where the probability of a Chinese invasion by June 30, 2026, sits at 3.0% YES, uncha...